2016 at a glance
Record: 86-76 (2nd in NL Central)
Hitting: 5th (4.81 R/G)
Pitching: 12th (4.08 ERA)
I like the pickup of Fowler and the Cards haven’t had a true leadoff guy like this for some time. .393 OBP last season. Other than Fowler they are a very similar team to last years.
Let’s look at the lineup which is solid.
The problem won’t be the lineup, the problem is the pitching which is filled with question marks.
|1||Carlos Martinez||SP||187||12||9||3.32||1.26||176||67||9.4%||95.6 mph|
|2||Mike Leake||SP||174||10||10||3.88||1.25||120||37||7.2%||90.6 mph|
|3||Adam Wainwright||SP||179||11||9||3.52||1.28||143||48||8.1%||90.3 mph|
|5||Michael Wacha||SP||115||6||7||3.76||1.34||97||37||8.1%||93.2 mph|
|6||Luke Weaver||SP||75||5||3||3.48||1.21||65||18||9.8%||91.9 mph|
Leake is ok but he barely pitches 90, doesn’t strike out much and allows more baserunners than I like. Wainwright is still a solid pitcher but not the ace he used to be. Lynn and Wacha are major question marks and I will be looking more to fade them than betting them until they proof they are back to form. Cards rotation will be allowing a lot of baserunners and that is something that could keep them out of contention if it comes to fruition.
Bullpen looks like a strength with OH who will likely dominate and Rosenthal will be a great setup guy. Cards will go as far as their rotation takes them. Pitching is so important and the rotation will be the difference between a wild card spot and being left out of the playoffs.