I am going with #8 Empire Ruler. 5/2 ML
Claimed by Ron Ellis for 40k and when Ellis claims a horse I look very closely. Should get a great cozy trip on the outside right behind the leaders who will likely go too fast early. #3 and #4 might burn each other out which will leave the Empire Ruler in good position to pick up the pieces. Jockey upgrade, Trainer upgrade and Ellis saw something to claim this maiden claimer. Expect major improvement.
3 year old gets a 6 pound allowance and one of the few in here not born in CA.