As you can see above, Cincy has a better offense, defense, 3pt shooting and are a better rebounding team.   It doesn’t hurt that they are 16-0 @ home this season and 45-6 last 51 @ home although I really don’t look at season priors too much because the teams are so different but you get my drift, they are rock solid at home.   When Cincy has all of these factors going for them to me it means that if one part of their game is off that night they can still manage to win.   Just a small example of what I do.